Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.046956 0.051147 0.055400 0.060032 0.064929 0.069943 0.075459
2025-03-02 0.038717 0.044668 0.050942 0.058022 0.065761 0.073938 0.083203
2025-03-09 0.032938 0.040074 0.047861 0.056927 0.067127 0.078190 0.091032
2025-03-16 0.030001 0.038232 0.047484 0.058540 0.071278 0.085383 0.102070
2025-03-23 0.027212 0.036234 0.046660 0.059420 0.074435 0.091369 0.111736
2025-03-30 0.024784 0.034404 0.045815 0.060088 0.077206 0.096829 0.120770
2025-04-06 0.022269 0.032230 0.044352 0.059841 0.078755 0.100771 0.127991
2025-04-13 0.020901 0.031361 0.044372 0.061294 0.082272 0.106994 0.137889
2025-04-20 0.018788 0.029350 0.042811 0.060660 0.083143 0.109990 0.143918
2025-04-27 0.017315 0.028066 0.042072 0.060964 0.085098 0.114245 0.151436
2025-05-04 0.016330 0.027364 0.042021 0.062091 0.088042 0.119692 0.160408
2025-05-11 0.015766 0.027199 0.042644 0.064069 0.092059 0.126474 0.171050
2025-05-18 0.013677 0.024730 0.040072 0.061788 0.090615 0.126508 0.173482
2025-05-25 0.012297 0.023198 0.038697 0.061027 0.091077 0.128894 0.178823
2025-06-01 0.011142 0.021915 0.037595 0.060568 0.091887 0.131696 0.184681
2025-06-08 0.010825 0.021914 0.038314 0.062617 0.096035 0.138794 0.196008
2025-06-15 0.010270 0.021487 0.038379 0.063732 0.098930 0.144295 0.205351
2025-06-22 0.009674 0.020947 0.038242 0.064536 0.101394 0.149243 0.214017
2025-06-29 0.008871 0.019993 0.037428 0.064330 0.102450 0.152342 0.220318
2025-07-06 0.008556 0.019853 0.037841 0.065887 0.105933 0.158645 0.230785
2025-07-13 0.007756 0.018795 0.036774 0.065235 0.106322 0.160843 0.235934
2025-07-20 0.007235 0.018193 0.036391 0.065563 0.108060 0.164826 0.243416
2025-07-27 0.006930 0.017970 0.036592 0.066752 0.111007 0.170436 0.253050